When we were revising Radon Underground for the 2nd edition we did discuss the topic with some statisticians who had done similar work for other radiation problems. The answer came back was that we did not then have a good enough grasp of the the number of cavers and their exposure estimates. Radon Underground 3rd edition stated "Given a typical caving trip could last some four hours and taking a typical radon concentration of say 3,000 Bqm-3 (the mean value of those cited in Table 1.1) and using the risk relationship computed above of 4 x 10-10 per hBqm-3, gives an increased risk of lung cancer from one trip of about 1 in 200,000." It went on to report that "The independent Advisory Group on Ionising Radiation (AGIR) stated that at the average national long-term residential radon concentration of 21 Bqm-3 the cumulative risk of death from lung cancer by the age of 75 years is 0.4 %, or 4 in every 1,000 for a lifelong non-smoker." So distinguishing a group of deaths due to radon exposure in caves from 'natural' exposure is difficult to say the least, especially when we are dealing with a total caving population of in the ball park of 5000, many of whom won't be life long cavers.