Assuming the geometry is the same for each one, your deflection test would just compare the stiffness of the two tubes (related to Youngs Modulus and wall thickness).
For the load capacity, the load at which it would fail in bending is related to the wall thickness and yield strength (permanent bend) and ultimate tensile strength (total failure).
Dependant on the alloys of both steel and aluminium and how they are work hardened or heat treated, it is possible to have widely varying yield strengths in either material. Soft, ductile all the way through to hard and brittle. Resistance to crack propagation (toughness) can also be varied. Even the sides, top and ring pull of a coke can have different alloys because they need to do different jobs.
The stiffness (and hence deflection) of aluminium or steel is largely unaffected by how they are alloyed or treated. Steel being about 3x as stiff.
So your test is useful for proving it doesn’t just collapse under two (or more cavers), the deflection itself isn’t that useful as an indicator.