JasonC said:
No worries - you've probably seen this:
http://ukcaving.com/wiki/index.php/Manchester_Hole - if not, it's a useful checklist.
What I'm not sure about is how much of Goyden/New Goyden is safely accessible in 'intermediate' conditions. Eg, I guess it wouldn't need too much extra water to close the Eternal Optimist link, but presumably most of Goyden is ok in all but the wettest conditions (though the famous tree in the roof shows that it fills completely sometimes
)
If water is flowing over the dam:
Manchester Hole - beyond the grovel (by fossil passage) through to the duck and section beyond to sump 1 can and does flood to the roof. It can be very fast and unpredictable. We have blocked the new flood entrance by Goyden main entrance best we can because this was a key contributing factor to the very fast flooding and subsequent death Nov 2005 but it can NOT BE GUARANTEED the water will not find another way around this or remove it.
Goyden pot - once the water is flowing over the dam or indeed close to (within 2m) then waves stirred up by a westerly wind (anything approaching a west ie w/nw/sw) can and does flood the system very fast.
Therefore do not enter if the dam is full or near full and a westerly wind is forecast. If there is no wind or a light wind not westerly but it is overflowing the dam then ask yourself is it safe to enter the entrance with the amount of water flowing into it. If it is only a small amount and you can enter safely and you decide to make a trip it is recommended you keep close to the river main passage and watch the level. Any rise and exit via Church pot. Going away from the river risks a change in wind speed/direction and surges of water flowing over the dam with a high risk of fast flooding in the system.
New Goyden pot -
with the dam overflowing and westerly winds forecast do not enter. If the dam is overflowing and no wind/light non westerly then note the stream level at the bottom of the second pitch. If high conditions prussik back out. If not too high/fast to proceed a short trip keeping with the river and monitoring the level is ok but
not advisable to go away from the river for even a short period of time into say Dry Wath series or Hardy Pools. A quick view of the main river passage and out via the main entrance or climbing out of Thrope.
I hope this helps Jason. The dam is overflowing at present and the weather forecast so far is giving a westerly wind all week so not looking good for any trip this Sunday
Better safe than sorry the cave will still be there another week eh.