Cap'n Chris mentioned earlier, with 'absolute certainty', 'when offered with a choice of "Yes, or No", approximately two-thirds of people vote Yes for no ostensible reason other than that people naturally are inclined to say yes when asked?'
Well that really does depend on what the question is otherwise it suggests that 2/3 of cavers will be voting 'yes', not based on research, or reasoned debate, or thinking through the consequences, but because they are a bit thick.
On the point of the 'logically obvious consequences of this regarding the uptake (or not) of BCA membership thereafter. i.e. if anyone, Joe Bloggs and all, can go caving with no bona fides whatsoever, why would anyone want to join a club, or the BCA, or any regional council whatsoever?'.
Clubs have been around much longer than the 'bona fides' and will continue to grow whatever the outcome of this referendum. If the outcome is a 'yes' then the BCA, assuming they then take the appropriate actions with the higher powers, will be seen to be supporting the majority of UK cavers and the likely outcome of that will be increased numbers of people not just joining the BCA but getting more involved in its management. Cap'n Chris thinks 'National bodies and EVERY UK club should take note', whereas I really don't think anyone needs to worry about that all.
As Graham mentions, if there are no takers for the 'no' camp then the event will indeed be more of a party political broadcast on behalf of the 'yes' camp. Hellie and the rest of the event organisers, however, will have done everything within their power to make it a balanced debate. It will be the 'no' camp that have let the process down by declining to participate in fear of the bile and vitriol that might come their way. A missed opportunity.
Hellie has already opened it up for anyone to put the case for a 'no' vote and whoever it was would certainly gain my respect. The bile and vitriol would certainly be heading in the direction of the 'no' campaigners if they tried to scupper the whole referendum process by not bothering to make their case to CHECC and then suggesting the outcome should be void.
I am increasingly more inclined to think along the lines of the last post Bograt made as being the reason there aren't any takers.
Mark