The Old Ruminator
Well-known member
The above attributed to Mark Twain.
Sorry to harp on about Covid-19 but this forum is the only place that wants to talk about it and surely there are folk here much cleverer than me.
I live in a town of 60,000 people. So far one resident has died ( no details ).
We have 15 Covid-19 patients in one of the biggest hospitals in the South West.
%1 of people who have died were under 45. (No details )
Maybe as many as %50 of people who have died were over 80.
Maybe %90 of people who have died had underlying risk factors.
Maybe nearly %80 of people have had Covid-19 without knowing.
So assuming 30,000 have died in a total of 65 million we have a headline figure of a very tiny percentage and that breaks down into areas we have seen above.
Now if you were doing a risk assessment for a reasonably fit caver under age 45 I wonder what the result would be. Maybe a one in a million plus chances of dying from Covid-19.
The same could be said for a reasonably fit 70-year-old living in the town in my statistics. OK the other factor of spreading the disease counts but initial rates of all types were grossly exaggerated. Similarly for SARs and Mad Cow Disease. Have we been led by the nose into a disastrous economical and social situation for relatively nothing ?
Sorry to harp on about Covid-19 but this forum is the only place that wants to talk about it and surely there are folk here much cleverer than me.
I live in a town of 60,000 people. So far one resident has died ( no details ).
We have 15 Covid-19 patients in one of the biggest hospitals in the South West.
%1 of people who have died were under 45. (No details )
Maybe as many as %50 of people who have died were over 80.
Maybe %90 of people who have died had underlying risk factors.
Maybe nearly %80 of people have had Covid-19 without knowing.
So assuming 30,000 have died in a total of 65 million we have a headline figure of a very tiny percentage and that breaks down into areas we have seen above.
Now if you were doing a risk assessment for a reasonably fit caver under age 45 I wonder what the result would be. Maybe a one in a million plus chances of dying from Covid-19.
The same could be said for a reasonably fit 70-year-old living in the town in my statistics. OK the other factor of spreading the disease counts but initial rates of all types were grossly exaggerated. Similarly for SARs and Mad Cow Disease. Have we been led by the nose into a disastrous economical and social situation for relatively nothing ?