Mmm, do you have vehicular access? Presumably not. If you did then the patent pending Land Rover bolting system could be pressed into action (take the keys down with you, don't want someone driving off with your rope!)
For situations like this we have a ground anchor. There's a mine in North Wales where there's nothing near the entrance pitch to rig to. On the first club trip a Landrover starting handle was used. The rope was led over the rim of the shaft, down hill somewhat before being tied to the starting handle that had been hammered into the hillside! The friction between the rope and the soil took much of the weight, even so, the owner of the starting handle felt duty bound to stay on the surface and check everything stayed in place!
After this trip the ground anchor was constructed. This takes the form of two pieces of box section, one hinged to the other to form a 'T'. The rope is fastened to the bottom arm of the 'T'. Along the top section of 'T' are three holes, each angled against the direction of rope pull. Through the holes are placed three steel spikes, each about 18" long, these are hammered fully into the ground.
This bit of kit is very useful (and has been load tested on the surface), in some places it's the only anchor available, in others it can be used as one leg of a 'Y' hang or as a rebelay near the top of a pitch. Up in Nenthead on the through trip from Rampgill to Brownley Hill, the passage in Rampgill at the top of the pitch is all loose shale and can't be safely bolted. To get down the ground anchor is hammered into the compacted shale on the floor a reasonable distance back from the head of the pitch. (a return trip has to recover the anchor)
Your plan to use a series of spikes in the ground seems the best solution. Make sure each one is angled away from the shaft, and tie the rope at the base of the spike, so it's loaded in shear. Tie the rope around each of the spikes and remove the slack between them so they all share the load. The scaffold will also share the load, but I'd prefer to be physically tied to the spikes if possible, rather than rely on a wedged scaffold bar.
I must admit 200ft is what I might term a series pitch, you need to truely satisfy yourself that the belay ain't going anywhere and I'd tie to anything you can - passing sheep, low flying aircraft, boulders, surface crew, luchboxes etc. etc. BTW: Don't situate your anchor right at the edge of the shaft, if you put it a short distance away the rope will rub againt the soil and friction will help. (Check for sharp stones etc. in the way first!)
Regarding the possible water on the way down, I'd go down and have a look, you may find solid rock in that area where you can do a rebelay, else you may find that moving the surface anchor to the other side of the shaft avoids the problem.
Best of luck.
Mine X.